AI insight
84% chance of a further slip within 45 days
From the SPI trend (0.78), the task closure rate and the open risks, the early-warning engine expects another slip unless the resource gap is closed.
Confidence82%
PRJ-2026-006Off track4ExecutionConstructionStalledDelivered by:Ministry of Industry, Internal Trade and Consumer Protection
Sheikh Najjar Industrial City Rehabilitation
Remove from watchlistRehabilitating Sheikh Najjar Industrial City’s infrastructure — internal roads, water and drainage networks, power stations and ground improvement on damaged plots — so factories can resume production.
Project managerEng. Youssef ShehabiProject sponsorEng. Bashir Al-TaiProgrammeIndustrial Recovery & Skills Programme
Early warning: 84% chance of slipping within 45 days
Budget (BAC)
SYP 7.2B
Actual cost
SYP 3.1B
44% of budget
Progress
39%Awaiting acceptance 11%
Estimate at completion
SYP 8B
+SYP 883.7M
SPI · CPI
0.78Schedule performance index · 0.780.89Cost performance index · 0.89
Forecast finish
2027-07-04
95 days behind baseline
ExecutionStage 4 of 5
Next gate:Closure15 January 2027
- Pre-start · CompletePre-start · Complete
- Gate into «Initiation»DecisionConditional goDate3 July 2024Initiation · CompleteInitiation · Complete
- Gate into «Planning»DecisionGoDate1 September 2024Planning · CompletePlanning · Complete
- Gate into «Execution»DecisionGoDate30 January 2025Execution · Current stageExecution · Current stage
- Gate into «Closure»DecisionNot held yetDate15 January 2027Closure · Not startedClosure · Not started
Project health across eight dimensions
A weighted index, not just percent complete; each dimension leads to the tab that explains it.
Health index
69
Needs watching
Off track
- Schedule54A material slip on the critical path.Off track
- Cost69CPI below 0.95 — watch it.At risk
- Risk63Medium risks need refreshed responses.At risk
- Scope68Scope changes pending.At risk
- Quality94Deliverables accepted first time.On track
- Resources86Team complete; allocation balanced.On track
- Stakeholders71Engagement gaps with some parties.At risk
- Benefits65Some benefits below their interim target.At risk
Index over the last six reports
−21
May to October 2026
No material change in the health dimensions over the period.
Copilot summary
Generated from the live project data
The project is behind plan: 39% done against 50% planned.
SPI 0.78, CPI 0.89.
The project’s link, progress and status
How the project ties to the strategy, its progress counted from accepted deliverables, and its status history.
Strategic link
The main objective and initiative, the secondary links, and the project’s contribution to its initiative.
Main strategic objective· Axis: Economic Recovery & Monetary StabilitySO-1.1Stimulate growth, restore production and attract investment
Main initiative
SI-1.1.2Industrial recovery & skills
Contribution to the initiative64%
The project’s share of the initiative’s project budget (2 projects)
Secondary links
- Secondary objectiveSO-2.1Rehabilitate core energy, water and transport infrastructure
- Supporting initiativeNational connectivity & support services
- Supporting initiativePower & water systems rehabilitation
- Annual work-plan line
- WP-2024-006
- Classification
- Strategic
Project progress from accepted deliverables
Project progress = the sum of the weights of deliverables accepted with a completion certificate; nothing counts before acceptance.
Counted
39%Awaiting acceptance 11%
Not handed in 50%
5 deliverables accepted
- Site works & excavation16%
- Detailed design8%
- Permits & approvals7%
- Project plan & baseline4%
- Monitoring & reporting4%
1 deliverable under inspection or acceptance
- Structure11%
Corrective plan requiredThe project is seriously late (95 days late · SPI 0.78) and has no corrective plan yet.
Progress & earned value
3 of 5 milestones complete
Earned-value curve
Planned, earned and actual to the data date, cumulative, with the forecast cost tail
- Planned value
- Earned value
- Actual cost
- Estimate at completion
- Budget at completion
Budget & commitments
Commitments are 89% of budget
SYP3.1B/ SYP7.2BSYP883.7Mprojected overrun(12.4%)
- Actual spend
- SYP3.1B
- Committed
- SYP6.4B
- Approved budget
- SYP7.2B
- Estimate at completion
- SYP8B
Next milestones
- Provisional acceptance2027-03-27was 2027-01-15Late
- Closure2027-07-04was 2027-03-31Late
Waiting on someone
0 approvals and 1 open action on this project
Approvals & requests
From «My actions» for this project
- No approvals pending
Actions
1 open
- Follow up works approvals with Aleppo GovernorateEng. Youssef ShehabiIn 6 days2026-11-03High
Risks & impediments
2 open risks, exposure SYP 712.5M
Risk map
Probability
5Probability: Almost certain · Impact: NegligibleLow · Score 5Probability: Almost certain · Impact: MinorMedium · Score 10Probability: Almost certain · Impact: ModerateHigh · Score 15Probability: Almost certain · Impact: MajorCritical · Score 20Probability: Almost certain · Impact: SevereCritical · Score 25
4Probability: Likely · Impact: NegligibleLow · Score 4Probability: Likely · Impact: MinorMedium · Score 81Probability: Likely · Impact: ModerateMedium · Score 12RSK-0025Late works approvals from Aleppo Governorate1Probability: Likely · Impact: MajorHigh · Score 16RSK-0024Ground-improvement costs up after the geotechnical surveyProbability: Likely · Impact: SevereCritical · Score 20
3Probability: Possible · Impact: NegligibleLow · Score 3Probability: Possible · Impact: MinorLow · Score 6Probability: Possible · Impact: ModerateMedium · Score 9Probability: Possible · Impact: MajorMedium · Score 12Probability: Possible · Impact: SevereHigh · Score 15
2Probability: Unlikely · Impact: NegligibleLow · Score 2Probability: Unlikely · Impact: MinorLow · Score 4Probability: Unlikely · Impact: ModerateLow · Score 6Probability: Unlikely · Impact: MajorMedium · Score 8Probability: Unlikely · Impact: SevereMedium · Score 10
1Probability: Rare · Impact: NegligibleLow · Score 1Probability: Rare · Impact: MinorLow · Score 2Probability: Rare · Impact: ModerateLow · Score 3Probability: Rare · Impact: MajorLow · Score 4Probability: Rare · Impact: SevereLow · Score 5
12345
Impact
- Critical0
- High1
- Medium1
- Low0
Deliverables
5 of 12 approved
- Project plan & baseline006-D1 · V1 · CRT-006-014%Eng. Youssef Shehabi2024-12-292024-12-29Approved
- Monitoring & reporting006-D2 · V1 · CRT-006-024%Eng. Wassim Al-Azm2025-03-142025-03-14Approved
- Detailed design006-D3 · V1 · CRT-006-038%Eng. Wassim Al-Azm2025-05-282025-05-28Approved
- Permits & approvals006-D4 · V1 · CRT-006-047%Eng. Bashir Al-Tai2025-08-112025-08-11Approved
- Site works & excavation006-D5 · V1 · CRT-006-0516%Eng. Bashir Al-Tai2025-10-242025-10-24Approved
- Structure006-D6 · V111%Eng. Youssef Shehabi294 days overdue2026-01-07In review
- Finishes006-D7 · V011%Eng. Wassim Al-Azm219 days overdue2026-03-23Draft
- Supply006-D8 · V09%Eng. Youssef Shehabi145 days overdue2026-06-05Draft
- Installation006-D9 · V09%Eng. Wassim Al-Azm70 days overdue2026-08-19Draft
- Testing & commissioning006-D10 · V09%Eng. Bashir Al-TaiIn 5 days2026-11-02Draft
- Provisional acceptance006-D11 · V06%Eng. Wassim Al-AzmIn 79 days2027-01-15Draft
- Final acceptance006-D12 · V06%Eng. Bashir Al-TaiIn 154 days2027-03-31Draft
Team, contracts & documents
Team
2 members
Eng. Youssef Shehabi · Senior Project Manager — Governorate ProjectsEng. Fadi Al-Droubi · Director General, Human Development Projects
- Eng. Youssef ShehabiEng. Youssef ShehabiSenior Project Manager — Governorate ProjectsProject managerP-023youssef.shehabi@psa.gov.sy55%
- Eng. Fadi Al-DroubiEng. Fadi Al-DroubiDirector General, Human Development ProjectsHuman-development lead on industrial workforce programmesP-014fadi.aldroubi@psa.gov.sy25%