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PRJ-2026-006Off track4ExecutionConstructionStalledDelivered by:Ministry of Industry, Internal Trade and Consumer Protection

Sheikh Najjar Industrial City Rehabilitation

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Rehabilitating Sheikh Najjar Industrial City’s infrastructure — internal roads, water and drainage networks, power stations and ground improvement on damaged plots — so factories can resume production.

Early warning: ⁦84%⁩ chance of slipping within ⁦45⁩ days

Budget (BAC)

SYP 7.2B

Actual cost

SYP 3.1B

⁦44%⁩ of budget

Progress

⁦39%⁩Awaiting acceptance ⁦11%⁩

Estimate at completion

SYP 8B

+SYP 883.7M

SPI · CPI

0.78Schedule performance index · 0.780.89Cost performance index · 0.89

Forecast finish

⁦2027-07-04⁩

95 days behind baseline

ExecutionStage ⁦4⁩ of ⁦5⁩

Next gate:Closure15 January 2027

  1. Pre-start · CompletePre-start · Complete
  2. Gate into «Initiation»DecisionConditional goDate3 July 2024Initiation · CompleteInitiation · Complete
  3. Gate into «Planning»DecisionGoDate1 September 2024Planning · CompletePlanning · Complete
  4. Gate into «Execution»DecisionGoDate30 January 2025Execution · Current stageExecution · Current stage
  5. Gate into «Closure»DecisionNot held yetDate15 January 2027Closure · Not startedClosure · Not started

Finance & earned value

The full budget structure, cost broken down by eight dimensions, cash flow with its S-curve, and earned-value indicators with an automatic end-of-project forecast.

Budget anatomy

The approved SYP 7.2B split into spent, committed and left, with the estimate at completion

Forecast overrun SYP 883.7M
EAC SYP 8B
Revised request SYP 7.7B
  • Actual spendSYP 3.1B
  • Committed, not spentSYP 3.2B
  • Allotted, uncommittedSYP 585.5M
  • Contingency availableSYP 214.5M

Budget

EstimatedManualFrom the project proposal — not from the finance systemthe proposal’s cost before approval
SYP 6B
Original budgetwhen the first baseline was approved
SYP 6.9B
Approved budgetafter approved change requests
SYP 7.2B
Current budgetavailable to spend now
SYP 7.2B
Revised budgetif the pending changes are approved
SYP 7.7B

Commitments

CommitmentsSyncedFrom the nightly finance-system syncsigned contracts and purchase orders
SYP 6.4B
Contracts2 active contracts
SYP 6.2B
Purchase orders⁦3⁩ orders
SYP 130M
Remaining budgetapproved less actual
SYP 4B

Spend & outlook

Actual costSyncedFrom the nightly finance-system syncincluding accruals
SYP 3.1B
Accrualswork done, not yet invoiced
SYP 125.3M
Estimate at completionManualThe project manager’s estimate — not from the finance systemthe PM’s bottom-up forecast
SYP 8B
ContingencySYP 143M drawn of SYP 357.5M
SYP 214.5M

Estimated vs approved budget

What the project proposal estimated before approval, against today’s approved budget and the estimate at completion

EstimatedSYP 6B
ApprovedSYP 7.2B
Estimate at completionSYP 8B
Approved is SYP 1.1B (⁦18.9%⁩) above the estimate
The estimate at completion is SYP 2B (⁦33.6%⁩) above the estimate

From the «project proposal & feasibility study» approved at the approval gate on ⁦2024-06-18⁩ · The gap between estimated and approved comes from the scope update and the change requests approved after the approval gate.

ERP link — data readiness

The link keys are ready for the finance-system sync; Munjaz follows the project and does not replace the accounting system

⁦4⁩ of ⁦4⁩ fields ready
  • Cost centreCC-41006
  • WBS elements⁦5⁩ elements · P-2026-006.01 …
  • Purchase orders⁦3⁩ synced · ⁦0⁩ manual
  • Invoices & certificates⁦32⁩ posted · ⁦1⁩ in approval
Last sync⁦2026-10-28⁩ · 06:00 · succeededNext tonight at 02:00

Where each figure comes from

  • EstimatedManualFrom the project proposal — not from the finance system
  • CommitmentsSyncedFrom the nightly finance-system sync
  • Actual costSyncedFrom the nightly finance-system sync
  • Estimate at completionManualThe project manager’s estimate — not from the finance system

Once the link is live, synced figures are read from the finance system; manual updates stay available to the same roles and are logged.

Purchase-order register

Manual edit log

Every manual update — who, when, why and from which source

No manual edits on this project

All its figures come from the finance-system sync. Finance & procurement — and the project manager, for the estimate at completion — can update them by hand.

Budget bridge

From the original to the revised request

  • Total
  • Increase
  • Decrease

Contingency draw-downs

SYP 143M drawn of SYP 357.5M

  • Covering realised delivery risks⁦2026-08-29⁩SYP 143M

Purchase orders

Cost breakdown structure

Every dimension adds up to the same totals

Cost breakdown structure — WBS
ItemBudgetSYP MCommittedSYP MActualSYP MEACSYP MVarianceSYP MConsumption
1Management & governance416.13481.69481.69481.69⁦−65.56⁩
2Design & permits832.26963.39963.39963.39⁦−131.13⁩
3Civil works2,635.492,450.181,688.072,823.66⁦−188.17⁩
4MEP works2,080.651,673.690.002,493.90⁦−413.25⁩
5Handover970.97781.050.001,163.82⁦−192.85⁩
Unallocated contingency214.500.000.00107.25⁦+107.25⁩
Total7,150.006,350.003,133.158,033.71⁦−883.71⁩

Budget split

WBS

SYP 7.2B

Budget

  • Management & governanceSYP 416.1M⁦6%⁩
  • Design & permitsSYP 832.3M⁦12%⁩
  • Civil worksSYP 2.6B⁦37%⁩
  • MEP worksSYP 2.1B⁦29%⁩
  • HandoverSYP 971M⁦14%⁩
  • Unallocated contingencySYP 214.5M⁦3%⁩

Cash flow

Planned, committed, actual and forecast

Spend per period

SYP millions

  • Planned
  • Actual
  • Forecast

Cumulative S-curve

Cumulative to close

  • Actual, then forecast
  • Planned, cumulative
  • Committed, cumulative
  • Forecast

Earned value management

At the data date ⁦2026-10-28⁩

Planned value, earned value and actual cost

  • Planned value
  • Earned value
  • Actual cost
  • Estimate at completion
  • Budget at completion

Finish by earned schedule

⁦2029-09-27⁩+911

SPI(t) ⁦0.51⁩ against the approved finish ⁦2027-03-31⁩

Planned valuePV
SYP 6.7B
The value of the work that should be done by today.
PV
Earned valueEV
SYP 2.8B
The value of the work actually done, at plan prices.
EV = % complete × BAC
Actual costAC
SYP 3.1B
What has actually been spent on the work done.
AC
Budget at completionBAC
SYP 7.2B
The approved budget for the whole project.
BAC
Cost varianceCV
⁦−344.65⁩ SYP M
Earned less actual; negative means paying more than the value.
CV = EV − AC
Schedule varianceSV
⁦−3,863.49⁩ SYP M
Earned less planned; negative means behind, in value.
SV = EV − PV
Cost performance indexCPI
0.89
Value produced per pound spent; under 1 is an overrun.
CPI = EV ÷ AC
Schedule performance indexSPI
0.42
Work done over work planned; under 1 is behind.
SPI = EV ÷ PV
Estimate at completionEAC
SYP 8B
What the project will cost when it finishes, as forecast.
EAC = BAC ÷ CPI
Estimate to completeETC
SYP 4.9B
What is still to be spent to completion.
ETC = EAC − AC
Variance at completionVAC
⁦−883.71⁩ SYP M
Budget less the estimate; negative is an overrun.
VAC = BAC − EAC
To-complete performance indexTCPI
1.09
The cost efficiency the rest must reach to stay on budget.
TCPI = (BAC − EV) ÷ (BAC − AC)

Automatic end-of-project forecast

Four ways to estimate the final cost, and the date earned schedule points to

  • At today’s cost performanceSYP 8B
  • If the rest goes to planSYP 7.5B
  • At cost and schedule performanceSYP 14.8B
  • The PM’s bottom-up estimateSYP 8B
  • To stay within SYP 7.2B, cost performance on the rest must rise to ⁦1.09⁩ — above what has been achieved.

Estimate at completion at that performance

SYP 8B

Variance at completion: ⁦−883.71⁩ SYP M

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