AI insight
88% chance of a further slip within 60 days
From the SPI trend (0.82), the task closure rate and the open risks, the early-warning engine expects another slip unless the resource gap is closed.
Confidence82%
PRJ-2026-002Off track4ExecutionConstructionStalledDelivered by:Ministry of Public Works and Housing
Darayya Replacement Housing
Remove from watchlistReplacement housing for families returning to Darayya — four linked residential blocks with water, power and internal roads, a school and a health centre, on land allocated by Rif Dimashq Governorate.
Project managerEng. Qasem Al-HaririProject sponsorSalma Al-ZaimProgrammeDamaged Areas Reconstruction Programme
Early warning: 88% chance of slipping within 60 days
Budget (BAC)
SYP 29.5B
Actual cost
SYP 13.3B
45% of budget
Progress
42%Awaiting acceptance 11%
Estimate at completion
SYP 31.7B
+SYP 2.2B
SPI · CPI
0.82Schedule performance index · 0.820.93Cost performance index · 0.93
Forecast finish
2027-09-12
74 days behind baseline
ExecutionStage 4 of 5
Next gate:Closure25 March 2027
- Pre-start · CompletePre-start · Complete
- Gate into «Initiation»DecisionGoDate3 January 2024Initiation · CompleteInitiation · Complete
- Gate into «Planning»DecisionGoDate3 March 2024Planning · CompletePlanning · Complete
- Gate into «Execution»DecisionGoDate13 September 2024Execution · Current stageExecution · Current stage
- Gate into «Closure»DecisionNot held yetDate25 March 2027Closure · Not startedClosure · Not started
Project health across eight dimensions
A weighted index, not just percent complete; each dimension leads to the tab that explains it.
Health index
60
Weak — act now
Off track
- Schedule41A material slip on the critical path.Off track
- Cost63CPI below 0.95 — watch it.At risk
- Risk46A high risk open without an adequate response.Off track
- Scope67Scope changes pending.At risk
- Quality66Open quality findings on some deliverables.At risk
- Resources73Members allocated above 100%.At risk
- Stakeholders44Resistance from an influential party.Off track
- Benefits91Benefits on track.On track
Index over the last six reports
−21
May to October 2026
No material change in the health dimensions over the period.
Copilot summary
Generated from the live project data
The project is behind plan: 42% done against 51% planned.
SPI 0.82, CPI 0.93.
The project’s link, progress and status
How the project ties to the strategy, its progress counted from accepted deliverables, and its status history.
Strategic link
The main objective and initiative, the secondary links, and the project’s contribution to its initiative.
Main strategic objective· Axis: Reconstruction & InfrastructureSO-2.2Rebuild damaged areas and provide replacement housing
Main initiative
SI-2.2.1Replacement housing & rebuilding damaged areas
Contribution to the initiative58%
The project’s share of the initiative’s project budget (3 projects)
Secondary links
- Secondary objectiveSO-2.1Rehabilitate core energy, water and transport infrastructure
- Supporting initiativeNational connectivity & support services
- Supporting initiativePower & water systems rehabilitation
- Annual work-plan line
- WP-2024-002
- Classification
- Strategic
Project progress from accepted deliverables
Project progress = the sum of the weights of deliverables accepted with a completion certificate; nothing counts before acceptance.
Counted
42%Awaiting acceptance 11%
Not handed in 47%
5 deliverables accepted
- Site works & excavation18%
- Detailed design8%
- Permits & approvals8%
- Project plan & baseline4%
- Monitoring & reporting4%
1 deliverable under inspection or acceptance
- Structure11%
Corrective plan requiredThe project is seriously late (74 days late · SPI 0.82) and has no corrective plan yet.
Progress & earned value
3 of 5 milestones complete
Earned-value curve
Planned, earned and actual to the data date, cumulative, with the forecast cost tail
- Planned value
- Earned value
- Actual cost
- Estimate at completion
- Budget at completion
Budget & commitments
Commitments are 93% of budget
SYP13.3B/ SYP29.5BSYP2.2Bprojected overrun(7.5%)
- Actual spend
- SYP13.3B
- Committed
- SYP27.4B
- Approved budget
- SYP29.5B
- Estimate at completion
- SYP31.7B
Next milestones
- Provisional acceptance2027-05-20was 2027-03-25Late
- Closure2027-09-12was 2027-06-30Late
Waiting on someone
1 approval and 2 open actions on this project
Approvals & requests
From «My actions» for this project
- Payment certificate
Actions
2 open
- Ask the electricity transmission & distribution establishment to move the HV lineEng. Wassim Al-Azm3 days overdue2026-10-25High
- Analyse the budget impact of price adjustmentsHuda Al-DandalIn 13 days2026-11-10High
Change requests
Cost and schedule impact
Risks & impediments
4 open risks, exposure SYP 2.5B
Risk map
Probability
5Probability: Almost certain · Impact: NegligibleLow · Score 5Probability: Almost certain · Impact: MinorMedium · Score 10Probability: Almost certain · Impact: ModerateHigh · Score 151Probability: Almost certain · Impact: MajorCritical · Score 20RSK-0015Steel and concrete price rises driving price-adjustment claimsProbability: Almost certain · Impact: SevereCritical · Score 25
4Probability: Likely · Impact: NegligibleLow · Score 4Probability: Likely · Impact: MinorMedium · Score 8Probability: Likely · Impact: ModerateMedium · Score 121Probability: Likely · Impact: MajorHigh · Score 16RSK-0017Contractor claim for a 120-day extension with compensation1Probability: Likely · Impact: SevereCritical · Score 20RSK-0016Late hand-over of the northern plot and utility diversions in blocks 3 and 4
3Probability: Possible · Impact: NegligibleLow · Score 3Probability: Possible · Impact: MinorLow · Score 6Probability: Possible · Impact: ModerateMedium · Score 9Probability: Possible · Impact: MajorMedium · Score 12Probability: Possible · Impact: SevereHigh · Score 15
2Probability: Unlikely · Impact: NegligibleLow · Score 2Probability: Unlikely · Impact: MinorLow · Score 4Probability: Unlikely · Impact: ModerateLow · Score 6Probability: Unlikely · Impact: MajorMedium · Score 81Probability: Unlikely · Impact: SevereMedium · Score 10RSK-0018Safety incidents around cranes and deep excavations
1Probability: Rare · Impact: NegligibleLow · Score 1Probability: Rare · Impact: MinorLow · Score 2Probability: Rare · Impact: ModerateLow · Score 3Probability: Rare · Impact: MajorLow · Score 4Probability: Rare · Impact: SevereLow · Score 5
12345
Impact
- Critical2
- High1
- Medium1
- Low0
Top risks
- 20Steel and concrete price rises driving price-adjustment claimsEscalateSYP1.2B
- 20Late hand-over of the northern plot and utility diversions in blocks 3 and 4EscalateSYP775M
- 16Contractor claim for a 120-day extension with compensationMitigateSYP462.5M
- 10Safety incidents around cranes and deep excavationsMitigateSYP100M
Open impediments
1 escalated
- Excavation clashes with the high-voltage line in block 4ISS-0116 · Eng. Qasem Al-HaririHigh7 days overdueAction time limit exceededEscalated
- Residents complaining about traffic diversions around the siteISS-0117 · Eng. Qasem Al-HaririMedium5 days leftWithin the time limitIn progress
- Late approval of the school and health-centre designsISS-0118 · Eng. Wael Al-KhawlaniMedium10 days leftWithin the time limitOpen
Deliverables
5 of 12 approved
- Project plan & baseline002-D1 · V1 · CRT-002-014%Eng. Qasem Al-Hariri2024-08-042024-08-04Approved
- Monitoring & reporting002-D2 · V1 · CRT-002-024%Eng. Wassim Al-Azm2024-11-092024-11-09Approved
- Detailed design002-D3 · V1 · CRT-002-038%Eng. Wassim Al-Azm2025-02-132025-02-13Approved
- Permits & approvals002-D4 · V1 · CRT-002-048%Salma Al-Zaim2025-05-202025-05-20Approved
- Site works & excavation002-D5 · V1 · CRT-002-0518%Salma Al-Zaim2025-08-252025-08-25Approved
- Structure002-D6 · V111%Eng. Qasem Al-Hariri333 days overdue2025-11-29In review
- Finishes002-D7 · V011%Eng. Wassim Al-Azm237 days overdue2026-03-05Draft
- Supply002-D8 · V08%Eng. Qasem Al-Hariri140 days overdue2026-06-10Draft
- Installation002-D9 · V08%Eng. Wassim Al-Azm44 days overdue2026-09-14Draft
- Testing & commissioning002-D10 · V08%Salma Al-ZaimIn 52 days2026-12-19Draft
- Provisional acceptance002-D11 · V06%Eng. Wassim Al-AzmIn 149 days2027-03-26Draft
- Final acceptance002-D12 · V06%Salma Al-ZaimIn 245 days2027-06-30Draft
Team, contracts & documents
Team
4 members
Eng. Qasem Al-Hariri · Director, Transport & Housing ProjectsEng. Abdulrahman Al-Kilani · Deputy President, Development Projects Follow-upHuda Al-Dandal · Senior Financial Analyst — Investment Plan
- Eng. Qasem Al-HaririEng. Qasem Al-HaririDirector, Transport & Housing ProjectsProject managerP-020qasem.alhariri@psa.gov.sy60%
- Eng. Abdulrahman Al-KilaniEng. Abdulrahman Al-KilaniDeputy President, Development Projects Follow-upFollow-up lead — handing units over to returning familiesP-010abdulrahman.alkilani@psa.gov.sy20%
- Huda Al-DandalHuda Al-DandalSenior Financial Analyst — Investment PlanFinancial analystP-037huda.aldandal@psa.gov.sy15%
Meetings
- No meetings scheduled