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PRJ-2026-002Off track4ExecutionConstructionStalledDelivered by:Ministry of Public Works and Housing

Darayya Replacement Housing

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Replacement housing for families returning to Darayya — four linked residential blocks with water, power and internal roads, a school and a health centre, on land allocated by Rif Dimashq Governorate.

Early warning: ⁦88%⁩ chance of slipping within ⁦60⁩ days

Budget (BAC)

SYP 29.5B

Actual cost

SYP 13.3B

⁦45%⁩ of budget

Progress

⁦42%⁩Awaiting acceptance ⁦11%⁩

Estimate at completion

SYP 31.7B

+SYP 2.2B

SPI · CPI

0.82Schedule performance index · 0.820.93Cost performance index · 0.93

Forecast finish

⁦2027-09-12⁩

74 days behind baseline

ExecutionStage ⁦4⁩ of ⁦5⁩

Next gate:Closure25 March 2027

  1. Pre-start · CompletePre-start · Complete
  2. Gate into «Initiation»DecisionGoDate3 January 2024Initiation · CompleteInitiation · Complete
  3. Gate into «Planning»DecisionGoDate3 March 2024Planning · CompletePlanning · Complete
  4. Gate into «Execution»DecisionGoDate13 September 2024Execution · Current stageExecution · Current stage
  5. Gate into «Closure»DecisionNot held yetDate25 March 2027Closure · Not startedClosure · Not started

Finance & earned value

The full budget structure, cost broken down by eight dimensions, cash flow with its S-curve, and earned-value indicators with an automatic end-of-project forecast.

Budget anatomy

The approved SYP 29.5B split into spent, committed and left, with the estimate at completion

Forecast overrun SYP 2.2B
EAC SYP 31.7B
Revised request SYP 29.5B
  • Actual spendSYP 13.3B
  • Committed, not spentSYP 14.1B
  • Allotted, uncommittedSYP 1.2B
  • Contingency availableSYP 885M

Budget

EstimatedManualFrom the project proposal — not from the finance systemthe proposal’s cost before approval
SYP 26.3B
Original budgetwhen the first baseline was approved
SYP 28.5B
Approved budgetafter approved change requests
SYP 29.5B
Current budgetavailable to spend now
SYP 29.5B
Revised budgetif the pending changes are approved
SYP 29.5B

Commitments

CommitmentsSyncedFrom the nightly finance-system syncsigned contracts and purchase orders
SYP 27.4B
Contracts2 active contracts
SYP 27.1B
Purchase orders⁦3⁩ orders
SYP 277.5M
Remaining budgetapproved less actual
SYP 16.2B

Spend & outlook

Actual costSyncedFrom the nightly finance-system syncincluding accruals
SYP 13.3B
Accrualswork done, not yet invoiced
SYP 532.9M
Estimate at completionManualThe project manager’s estimate — not from the finance systemthe PM’s bottom-up forecast
SYP 31.7B
ContingencySYP 590M drawn of SYP 1.5B
SYP 885M

Estimated vs approved budget

What the project proposal estimated before approval, against today’s approved budget and the estimate at completion

EstimatedSYP 26.3B
ApprovedSYP 29.5B
Estimate at completionSYP 31.7B
Approved is SYP 3.2B (⁦12.4%⁩) above the estimate
The estimate at completion is SYP 5.5B (⁦20.8%⁩) above the estimate

From the «project proposal & feasibility study» approved at the approval gate on ⁦2023-12-19⁩ · The gap between estimated and approved comes from the scope update and the change requests approved after the approval gate.

ERP link — data readiness

The link keys are ready for the finance-system sync; Munjaz follows the project and does not replace the accounting system

⁦4⁩ of ⁦4⁩ fields ready
  • Cost centreCC-51002
  • WBS elements⁦5⁩ elements · P-2026-002.01 …
  • Purchase orders⁦3⁩ synced · ⁦0⁩ manual
  • Invoices & certificates⁦47⁩ posted · ⁦1⁩ in approval
Last sync⁦2026-10-28⁩ · 06:00 · succeededNext tonight at 02:00

Where each figure comes from

  • EstimatedManualFrom the project proposal — not from the finance system
  • CommitmentsSyncedFrom the nightly finance-system sync
  • Actual costSyncedFrom the nightly finance-system sync
  • Estimate at completionManualThe project manager’s estimate — not from the finance system

Once the link is live, synced figures are read from the finance system; manual updates stay available to the same roles and are logged.

Purchase-order register

Manual edit log

Every manual update — who, when, why and from which source

No manual edits on this project

All its figures come from the finance-system sync. Finance & procurement — and the project manager, for the estimate at completion — can update them by hand.

Budget bridge

From the original to the revised request

  • Total
  • Increase
  • Decrease

Contingency draw-downs

SYP 590M drawn of SYP 1.5B

  • Covering realised delivery risks⁦2026-08-29⁩SYP 590M

Purchase orders

Cost breakdown structure

Every dimension adds up to the same totals

Cost breakdown structure — WBS
ItemBudgetSYP MCommittedSYP MActualSYP MEACSYP MVarianceSYP MConsumption
1Management & governance1,716.901,905.951,905.951,905.95⁦−189.05⁩
2Design & permits3,433.803,811.903,811.903,811.90⁦−378.10⁩
3Civil works10,873.7010,508.437,604.7411,305.68⁦−431.98⁩
4MEP works8,584.507,625.270.009,718.91⁦−1,134.41⁩
5Handover4,006.103,558.460.004,535.49⁦−529.39⁩
Unallocated contingency885.000.000.00442.50⁦+442.50⁩
Total29,500.0027,410.0013,322.5831,720.43⁦−2,220.43⁩

Budget split

WBS

SYP 29.5B

Budget

  • Management & governanceSYP 1.7B⁦6%⁩
  • Design & permitsSYP 3.4B⁦12%⁩
  • Civil worksSYP 10.9B⁦37%⁩
  • MEP worksSYP 8.6B⁦29%⁩
  • HandoverSYP 4B⁦14%⁩
  • Unallocated contingencySYP 885M⁦3%⁩

Cash flow

Planned, committed, actual and forecast

Spend per period

SYP millions

  • Planned
  • Actual
  • Forecast

Cumulative S-curve

Cumulative to close

  • Actual, then forecast
  • Planned, cumulative
  • Committed, cumulative
  • Forecast

Earned value management

At the data date ⁦2026-10-28⁩

Planned value, earned value and actual cost

  • Planned value
  • Earned value
  • Actual cost
  • Estimate at completion
  • Budget at completion

Finish by earned schedule

⁦2030-02-15⁩+961

SPI(t) ⁦0.56⁩ against the approved finish ⁦2027-06-30⁩

Planned valuePV
SYP 26.4B
The value of the work that should be done by today.
PV
Earned valueEV
SYP 12.4B
The value of the work actually done, at plan prices.
EV = % complete × BAC
Actual costAC
SYP 13.3B
What has actually been spent on the work done.
AC
Budget at completionBAC
SYP 29.5B
The approved budget for the whole project.
BAC
Cost varianceCV
⁦−932.58⁩ SYP M
Earned less actual; negative means paying more than the value.
CV = EV − AC
Schedule varianceSV
⁦−14,042.00⁩ SYP M
Earned less planned; negative means behind, in value.
SV = EV − PV
Cost performance indexCPI
0.93
Value produced per pound spent; under 1 is an overrun.
CPI = EV ÷ AC
Schedule performance indexSPI
0.47
Work done over work planned; under 1 is behind.
SPI = EV ÷ PV
Estimate at completionEAC
SYP 31.7B
What the project will cost when it finishes, as forecast.
EAC = BAC ÷ CPI
Estimate to completeETC
SYP 18.4B
What is still to be spent to completion.
ETC = EAC − AC
Variance at completionVAC
⁦−2,220.43⁩ SYP M
Budget less the estimate; negative is an overrun.
VAC = BAC − EAC
To-complete performance indexTCPI
1.06
The cost efficiency the rest must reach to stay on budget.
TCPI = (BAC − EV) ÷ (BAC − AC)

Automatic end-of-project forecast

Four ways to estimate the final cost, and the date earned schedule points to

  • At today’s cost performanceSYP 31.7B
  • If the rest goes to planSYP 30.4B
  • At cost and schedule performanceSYP 52.6B
  • The PM’s bottom-up estimateSYP 31.7B
  • To stay within SYP 29.5B, cost performance on the rest must rise to ⁦1.06⁩ — above what has been achieved.

Estimate at completion at that performance

SYP 31.7B

Variance at completion: ⁦−2,220.43⁩ SYP M

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