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PRJ-2026-034At risk4ExecutionConstructionIn progressDelivered by:Ministry of Public Works and Housing

Maarat al-Numan Infrastructure Rehabilitation — with Idlib Governorate

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Rehabilitating roads, water and drainage networks and street lighting in Maarat al-Numan with Idlib Governorate, so residents and public services can return.

Early warning: ⁦55%⁩ chance of slipping within ⁦60⁩ days

Budget (BAC)

SYP 6B

Actual cost

SYP 2B

⁦34%⁩ of budget

Progress

⁦33%⁩Awaiting acceptance ⁦12%⁩

Estimate at completion

SYP 6.2B

+SYP 247.9M

SPI · CPI

0.89Schedule performance index · 0.890.96Cost performance index · 0.96

Forecast finish

⁦2027-09-28⁩

28 days behind baseline

ExecutionStage ⁦4⁩ of ⁦5⁩

Next gate:Closure29 June 2027

  1. Pre-start · CompletePre-start · Complete
  2. Gate into «Initiation»DecisionGoDate7 May 2025Initiation · CompleteInitiation · Complete
  3. Gate into «Planning»DecisionGoDate6 July 2025Planning · CompletePlanning · Complete
  4. Gate into «Execution»DecisionGoDate9 November 2025Execution · Current stageExecution · Current stage
  5. Gate into «Closure»DecisionNot held yetDate29 June 2027Closure · Not startedClosure · Not started

Finance & earned value

The full budget structure, cost broken down by eight dimensions, cash flow with its S-curve, and earned-value indicators with an automatic end-of-project forecast.

Budget anatomy

The approved SYP 6B split into spent, committed and left, with the estimate at completion

Forecast overrun SYP 247.9M
EAC SYP 6.2B
Revised request SYP 6B
  • Actual spendSYP 2B
  • Committed, not spentSYP 3.1B
  • Allotted, uncommittedSYP 646.5M
  • Contingency availableSYP 178.5M

Budget

EstimatedManualFrom the project proposal — not from the finance systemthe proposal’s cost before approval
SYP 5.1B
Original budgetwhen the first baseline was approved
SYP 6B
Approved budgetafter approved change requests
SYP 6B
Current budgetavailable to spend now
SYP 6B
Revised budgetif the pending changes are approved
SYP 6B

Commitments

CommitmentsSyncedFrom the nightly finance-system syncsigned contracts and purchase orders
SYP 5.1B
Contracts1 active contract
SYP 4.9B
Purchase orders⁦3⁩ orders
SYP 225M
Remaining budgetapproved less actual
SYP 3.9B

Spend & outlook

Actual costSyncedFrom the nightly finance-system syncincluding accruals
SYP 2B
Accrualswork done, not yet invoiced
SYP 81.8M
Estimate at completionManualThe project manager’s estimate — not from the finance systemthe PM’s bottom-up forecast
SYP 6.2B
ContingencySYP 119M drawn of SYP 297.5M
SYP 178.5M

Estimated vs approved budget

What the project proposal estimated before approval, against today’s approved budget and the estimate at completion

EstimatedSYP 5.1B
ApprovedSYP 6B
Estimate at completionSYP 6.2B
Approved is SYP 832.5M (⁦16.3%⁩) above the estimate
The estimate at completion is SYP 1.1B (⁦21.1%⁩) above the estimate

From the «project proposal & feasibility study» approved at the approval gate on ⁦2025-04-22⁩ · The gap between estimated and approved comes from the scope update and the change requests approved after the approval gate.

ERP link — data readiness

The link keys are ready for the finance-system sync; Munjaz follows the project and does not replace the accounting system

⁦4⁩ of ⁦4⁩ fields ready
  • Cost centreCC-51034
  • WBS elements⁦5⁩ elements · P-2026-034.01 …
  • Purchase orders⁦3⁩ synced · ⁦0⁩ manual
  • Invoices & certificates⁦6⁩ posted · ⁦1⁩ in approval
Last sync⁦2026-10-28⁩ · 06:00 · succeededNext tonight at 02:00

Where each figure comes from

  • EstimatedManualFrom the project proposal — not from the finance system
  • CommitmentsSyncedFrom the nightly finance-system sync
  • Actual costSyncedFrom the nightly finance-system sync
  • Estimate at completionManualThe project manager’s estimate — not from the finance system

Once the link is live, synced figures are read from the finance system; manual updates stay available to the same roles and are logged.

Purchase-order register

Manual edit log

Every manual update — who, when, why and from which source

No manual edits on this project

All its figures come from the finance-system sync. Finance & procurement — and the project manager, for the estimate at completion — can update them by hand.

Budget bridge

From the original to the revised request

  • Total
  • Increase
  • Decrease

Contingency draw-downs

SYP 119M drawn of SYP 297.5M

  • Covering realised delivery risks⁦2026-08-29⁩SYP 119M

Purchase orders

Cost breakdown structure

Every dimension adds up to the same totals

Cost breakdown structure — WBS
ItemBudgetSYP MCommittedSYP MActualSYP MEACSYP MVarianceSYP MConsumption
1Management & governance346.29372.48372.48372.48⁦−26.19⁩
2Design & permits692.58744.95744.95744.95⁦−52.37⁩
3Civil works2,193.171,952.05927.882,279.17⁦−86.00⁩
4MEP works1,731.451,401.490.001,849.14⁦−117.69⁩
5Handover808.01654.030.00862.93⁦−54.92⁩
Unallocated contingency178.500.000.0089.25⁦+89.25⁩
Total5,950.005,125.002,045.316,197.92⁦−247.92⁩

Budget split

WBS

SYP 6B

Budget

  • Management & governanceSYP 346.3M⁦6%⁩
  • Design & permitsSYP 692.6M⁦12%⁩
  • Civil worksSYP 2.2B⁦37%⁩
  • MEP worksSYP 1.7B⁦29%⁩
  • HandoverSYP 808M⁦14%⁩
  • Unallocated contingencySYP 178.5M⁦3%⁩

Cash flow

Planned, committed, actual and forecast

Spend per period

SYP millions

  • Planned
  • Actual
  • Forecast

Cumulative S-curve

Cumulative to close

  • Actual, then forecast
  • Planned, cumulative
  • Committed, cumulative
  • Forecast

Earned value management

At the data date ⁦2026-10-28⁩

Planned value, earned value and actual cost

  • Planned value
  • Earned value
  • Actual cost
  • Estimate at completion
  • Budget at completion

Finish by earned schedule

⁦2028-12-15⁩+472

SPI(t) ⁦0.63⁩ against the approved finish ⁦2027-08-31⁩

Planned valuePV
SYP 4B
The value of the work that should be done by today.
PV
Earned valueEV
SYP 2B
The value of the work actually done, at plan prices.
EV = % complete × BAC
Actual costAC
SYP 2B
What has actually been spent on the work done.
AC
Budget at completionBAC
SYP 6B
The approved budget for the whole project.
BAC
Cost varianceCV
⁦−81.81⁩ SYP M
Earned less actual; negative means paying more than the value.
CV = EV − AC
Schedule varianceSV
⁦−2,023.03⁩ SYP M
Earned less planned; negative means behind, in value.
SV = EV − PV
Cost performance indexCPI
0.96
Value produced per pound spent; under 1 is an overrun.
CPI = EV ÷ AC
Schedule performance indexSPI
0.49
Work done over work planned; under 1 is behind.
SPI = EV ÷ PV
Estimate at completionEAC
SYP 6.2B
What the project will cost when it finishes, as forecast.
EAC = BAC ÷ CPI
Estimate to completeETC
SYP 4.2B
What is still to be spent to completion.
ETC = EAC − AC
Variance at completionVAC
⁦−247.92⁩ SYP M
Budget less the estimate; negative is an overrun.
VAC = BAC − EAC
To-complete performance indexTCPI
1.02
The cost efficiency the rest must reach to stay on budget.
TCPI = (BAC − EV) ÷ (BAC − AC)

Automatic end-of-project forecast

Four ways to estimate the final cost, and the date earned schedule points to

  • At today’s cost performanceSYP 6.2B
  • If the rest goes to planSYP 6B
  • At cost and schedule performanceSYP 10.5B
  • The PM’s bottom-up estimateSYP 6.2B
  • To stay within SYP 6B, cost performance on the rest must rise to ⁦1.02⁩ — above what has been achieved.

Estimate at completion at that performance

SYP 6.2B

Variance at completion: ⁦−247.92⁩ SYP M

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