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PRJ-2026-013At risk4ExecutionConstructionIn progressDelivered by:Ministry of Transport

Damascus–Daraa Highway (Southern M5) — Lighting & Smart Signals

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Solar lighting for the highway between As-Sanamayn and Daraa: 1,200 lighting poles and traffic cameras, smart signals at the junctions and a traffic control room in Daraa.

Early warning: ⁦58%⁩ chance of slipping within ⁦45⁩ days

Budget (BAC)

SYP 1.9B

Actual cost

SYP 1.6B

⁦84%⁩ of budget

Progress

⁦79%⁩Awaiting acceptance ⁦9%⁩

Estimate at completion

SYP 2B

+SYP 118.1M

SPI · CPI

0.88Schedule performance index · 0.880.94Cost performance index · 0.94

Forecast finish

⁦2026-12-15⁩

45 days behind baseline

ExecutionStage ⁦4⁩ of ⁦5⁩

Next gate:Closure11 September 2026

  1. Pre-start · CompletePre-start · Complete
  2. Gate into «Initiation»DecisionGoDate18 December 2024Initiation · CompleteInitiation · Complete
  3. Gate into «Planning»DecisionGoDate16 February 2025Planning · CompletePlanning · Complete
  4. Gate into «Execution»DecisionConditional goDate27 May 2025Execution · Current stageExecution · Current stage
  5. Gate into «Closure»DecisionNot held yetDate11 September 2026Closure · Not startedClosure · Not started

Finance & earned value

The full budget structure, cost broken down by eight dimensions, cash flow with its S-curve, and earned-value indicators with an automatic end-of-project forecast.

Budget anatomy

The approved SYP 1.9B split into spent, committed and left, with the estimate at completion

Forecast overrun SYP 118.1M
EAC SYP 2B
Revised request SYP 1.9B
  • Actual spendSYP 1.6B
  • Committed, not spentSYP 165.2M
  • Allotted, uncommittedSYP 74.5M
  • Contingency availableSYP 55.5M

Budget

EstimatedManualFrom the project proposal — not from the finance systemthe proposal’s cost before approval
SYP 1.7B
Original budgetwhen the first baseline was approved
SYP 1.9B
Approved budgetafter approved change requests
SYP 1.9B
Current budgetavailable to spend now
SYP 1.9B
Revised budgetif the pending changes are approved
SYP 1.9B

Commitments

CommitmentsSyncedFrom the nightly finance-system syncsigned contracts and purchase orders
SYP 1.7B
Contracts1 active contract
SYP 1.5B
Purchase orders⁦3⁩ orders
SYP 182.5M
Remaining budgetapproved less actual
SYP 295.2M

Spend & outlook

Actual costSyncedFrom the nightly finance-system syncincluding accruals
SYP 1.6B
Accrualswork done, not yet invoiced
SYP 62.2M
Estimate at completionManualThe project manager’s estimate — not from the finance systemthe PM’s bottom-up forecast
SYP 2B
ContingencySYP 37M drawn of SYP 92.5M
SYP 55.5M

Estimated vs approved budget

What the project proposal estimated before approval, against today’s approved budget and the estimate at completion

EstimatedSYP 1.7B
ApprovedSYP 1.9B
Estimate at completionSYP 2B
Approved is SYP 167.5M (⁦10.0%⁩) above the estimate
The estimate at completion is SYP 285.6M (⁦17.0%⁩) above the estimate

From the «project proposal & feasibility study» approved at the approval gate on ⁦2024-12-03⁩ · The gap between estimated and approved comes from the scope update and the change requests approved after the approval gate.

ERP link — data readiness

The link keys are ready for the finance-system sync; Munjaz follows the project and does not replace the accounting system

⁦4⁩ of ⁦4⁩ fields ready
  • Cost centreCC-51013
  • WBS elements⁦5⁩ elements · P-2026-013.01 …
  • Purchase orders⁦3⁩ synced · ⁦0⁩ manual
  • Invoices & certificates⁦14⁩ posted · ⁦0⁩ in approval
Last sync⁦2026-10-28⁩ · 06:00 · succeededNext tonight at 02:00

Where each figure comes from

  • EstimatedManualFrom the project proposal — not from the finance system
  • CommitmentsSyncedFrom the nightly finance-system sync
  • Actual costSyncedFrom the nightly finance-system sync
  • Estimate at completionManualThe project manager’s estimate — not from the finance system

Once the link is live, synced figures are read from the finance system; manual updates stay available to the same roles and are logged.

Purchase-order register

Manual edit log

Every manual update — who, when, why and from which source

No manual edits on this project

All its figures come from the finance-system sync. Finance & procurement — and the project manager, for the estimate at completion — can update them by hand.

Budget bridge

From the original to the revised request

  • Total
  • Increase
  • Decrease

Contingency draw-downs

SYP 37M drawn of SYP 92.5M

  • Covering realised delivery risks⁦2026-08-29⁩SYP 37M

Purchase orders

Cost breakdown structure

Every dimension adds up to the same totals

Cost breakdown structure — WBS
ItemBudgetSYP MCommittedSYP MActualSYP MEACSYP MVarianceSYP MConsumption
1Management & governance107.67118.09118.09118.09⁦−10.42⁩
2Design & permits215.34236.17236.17236.17⁦−20.83⁩
3Civil works681.91747.87747.87747.87⁦−65.96⁩
4MEP works538.35494.68452.66550.72⁦−12.37⁩
5Handover251.23123.190.00287.49⁦−36.26⁩
Unallocated contingency55.500.000.0027.75⁦+27.75⁩
Total1,850.001,720.001,554.791,968.09⁦−118.09⁩

Budget split

WBS

SYP 1.9B

Budget

  • Management & governanceSYP 107.7M⁦6%⁩
  • Design & permitsSYP 215.3M⁦12%⁩
  • Civil worksSYP 681.9M⁦37%⁩
  • MEP worksSYP 538.4M⁦29%⁩
  • HandoverSYP 251.2M⁦14%⁩
  • Unallocated contingencySYP 55.5M⁦3%⁩

Cash flow

Planned, committed, actual and forecast

Spend per period

SYP millions

  • Planned
  • Actual
  • Forecast

Cumulative S-curve

Cumulative to close

  • Actual, then forecast
  • Planned, cumulative
  • Committed, cumulative

Earned value management

At the data date ⁦2026-10-28⁩

Planned value, earned value and actual cost

  • Planned value
  • Earned value
  • Actual cost
  • Estimate at completion
  • Budget at completion

Finish by earned schedule

⁦2027-07-18⁩+260

SPI(t) ⁦0.71⁩ against the approved finish ⁦2026-10-31⁩

Planned valuePV
SYP 1.9B
The value of the work that should be done by today.
PV
Earned valueEV
SYP 1.5B
The value of the work actually done, at plan prices.
EV = % complete × BAC
Actual costAC
SYP 1.6B
What has actually been spent on the work done.
AC
Budget at completionBAC
SYP 1.9B
The approved budget for the whole project.
BAC
Cost varianceCV
⁦−93.29⁩ SYP M
Earned less actual; negative means paying more than the value.
CV = EV − AC
Schedule varianceSV
⁦−388.50⁩ SYP M
Earned less planned; negative means behind, in value.
SV = EV − PV
Cost performance indexCPI
0.94
Value produced per pound spent; under 1 is an overrun.
CPI = EV ÷ AC
Schedule performance indexSPI
0.79
Work done over work planned; under 1 is behind.
SPI = EV ÷ PV
Estimate at completionEAC
SYP 2B
What the project will cost when it finishes, as forecast.
EAC = BAC ÷ CPI
Estimate to completeETC
SYP 413.3M
What is still to be spent to completion.
ETC = EAC − AC
Variance at completionVAC
⁦−118.09⁩ SYP M
Budget less the estimate; negative is an overrun.
VAC = BAC − EAC
To-complete performance indexTCPI
1.32
The cost efficiency the rest must reach to stay on budget.
TCPI = (BAC − EV) ÷ (BAC − AC)

Automatic end-of-project forecast

Four ways to estimate the final cost, and the date earned schedule points to

  • At today’s cost performanceSYP 2B
  • If the rest goes to planSYP 1.9B
  • At cost and schedule performanceSYP 2.1B
  • The PM’s bottom-up estimateSYP 2B
  • To stay within SYP 1.9B, cost performance on the rest must rise to ⁦1.32⁩ — above what has been achieved.

Estimate at completion at that performance

SYP 2B

Variance at completion: ⁦−118.08⁩ SYP M

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