National project risks & high risks report
Planning and Statistics Authority · Second half of October 2026
Shown by your permissionsProject Management Office: 36 projects — everything in your scope
MunjazStrategy & projects
MunjazPMO PLATFORMRisk report
National project risks & high risks report
Planning and Statistics Authority
- Period
- Second half of October 2026
- Generated
- 22 October 2026
- Submitted to
- The President and the Executive Council
- Owner
- Nizar Abu Fakhr
Prepared by the National PMO — automatically, on Munjaz
Executive summary
Written by Copilot from system data — review before sending
18 high risks are open with SYP 10.08bn of exposure; the decisions needed centre on reconstruction contractor distress and the large change requests.
12 projects are more than a month behind baseline; the worst: Hama National Hospital Upgrade & Extension (152 days), Aleppo 230 kV Substations Rehabilitation (126 days), Sheikh Najjar Industrial City Rehabilitation (95 days).
The scope holds 36 projects with a budget of SYP 129.28bn: 18 on track and 6 red or critical. Weighted progress is 52% against 57% planned, spend SYP 60.34bn, and EAC SYP 139.48bn (SYP 10.19bn over).
Key figures
- Projects
- 36
- Budget
- SYP 129.3B
- Spent
- SYP 60.3B
- EAC
- SYP 139.5B
- Progress
- 52% / 57%
- SPI
- 0.85
- CPI
- 0.93
- High risks
- 18
Project health mix
- On track 18
- At risk 10
- Off track 4
- Critical 2
- On hold 2
Risk map
- Critical6
- High12
- Medium24
- Low3
- Risks 45
Impact
| Probability \ Impact | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 0 · Low | 0 · Medium | 0 · High | 3 · Critical | 1 · Critical |
| 4 | 0 · Low | 0 · Medium | 4 · Medium | 9 · High | 2 · Critical |
| 3 | 0 · Low | 0 · Low | 12 · Medium | 5 · Medium | 3 · High |
| 2 | 0 · Low | 0 · Low | 3 · Low | 1 · Medium | 2 · Medium |
| 1 | 0 · Low | 0 · Low | 0 · Low | 0 · Low | 0 · Low |
Exposure by risk category
| Category | Exposure |
|---|---|
| Financial | SYP 7.1B |
| Schedule | SYP 1.3B |
| Technical | SYP 1.1B |
| Regulatory | SYP 780M |
| Contractual | SYP 710M |
| Cost | SYP 210M |
| Resource | SYP 100M |
| Stakeholder | SYP 100M |
| Security | SYP 90M |
Projects with the most at stake
| Project | Budget | Progress | Slip | Health |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darayya Replacement Housing | SYP 29.5B | 42% | 74 days | Off track |
| Hama National Hospital Upgrade & Extension | SYP 16B | 57% | 152 days | Critical |
| Deir ez-Zor Suspension Bridge Reconstruction | SYP 13B | 2% | — | On track |
| Aleppo 230 kV Substations Rehabilitation | SYP 10.3B | 68% | 126 days | Critical |
| Douma Wastewater Treatment Plant | SYP 8.6B | 44% | 64 days | Off track |
| Sheikh Najjar Industrial City Rehabilitation | SYP 7.2B | 39% | 95 days | Off track |
| Maarat al-Numan Infrastructure Rehabilitation — with Idlib Governorate | SYP 6B | 33% | 28 days | At risk |
| Al-Mayadin General Hospital | SYP 5.3B | 2% | 184 days | On hold |
| Latakia University Technical Engineering Faculty Extension | SYP 4B | 52% | 12 days | At risk |
| Government Backup Data Centre, Homs — Phase 2 | SYP 3.7B | 72% | 38 days | At risk |
| Government Fibre Backbone — Damascus–Homs Segment | SYP 3.3B | 55% | 33 days | At risk |
| Unified Government Contact Centre & AI Assistant | SYP 2.8B | 0% | — | On track |
The largest 12 of 36 by budget — the full table is in the Excel file
Highest-exposure risks
| Risk | Score | Exposure |
|---|---|---|
| Main contractor cash-flow trouble and late payment of subcontractorsAleppo 230 kV Substations Rehabilitation | 25 | SYP 900M |
| Steel and concrete price rises driving price-adjustment claimsDarayya Replacement Housing | 20 | SYP 1.2B |
| Contractor’s financial claims piling up over unapproved change ordersHama National Hospital Upgrade & Extension | 20 | SYP 1B |
| Late hand-over of the northern plot and utility diversions in blocks 3 and 4Darayya Replacement Housing | 20 | SYP 775M |
| Unforeseen ground conditions and groundwater at the foundations of axes 12 to 16Douma Wastewater Treatment Plant | 20 | SYP 675M |
| Late land allocation and registration by the Deir ez-Zor governorate councilAl-Mayadin General Hospital | 20 | SYP 300M |
| Ground-improvement costs up after the geotechnical surveySheikh Najjar Industrial City Rehabilitation | 16 | SYP 562.5M |
Decisions needed
- 1
Pay subcontractors directly on the Aleppo 230 kV substations rehabilitation
The National PMO recommends paying directly out of certificate 22 and deducting it from the main contractor’s dues.
- 2
Refer the Hama National Hospital contractor’s claims to arbitration
Legal Affairs recommends referral, with an independent engineer assessing the extension request in parallel.
- 3
Approve the updated corrective plan for the Unified Government e-Services Platform
The National Steering Committee recommends conditional approval with a monthly progress review.
- 4
Release SYP 550M of the Reconstruction & Infrastructure portfolio reserve to speed up the Darayya housing land hand-over
The Infrastructure & Reconstruction Projects directorate recommends two tranches tied to site hand-overs.